Uk Inflation Jumps More Than Expected In January, Testing The Boe's Outlook

  • Posted on February 19, 2025
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By William Schomberg and David MillikenLONDON (Reuters) - British inflation sped up by more than expected to hit a 10-month high of 3.0% in January and is likely to rise further soon, testing the Bank of England's confidence that price pressures will ease over the longer term.The BoE and economists polled by Reuters had expected inflation to rise by less, to 2.8%, after December's reading of 2.5%.The Office for National Statistics said the increase in January was driven largely by a smaller-than-usual drop in air fares that month - a volatile component that had pushed inflation down in December - and a rise in automotive fuel prices.Food prices also rose, while another factor was the increase in private school fees after the decision by the government of Prime Minister Keir Starmer to charge value added tax on them.Overall, services prices - which feature prominently in the debate at the BoE about how quickly to cut interest rates - rose sharply to 5.0% from 4.4%, but by less than the 5.2% rate expected by economists or the central bank.Sterling momentarily strengthened against the dollar after the figures were published before quickly settling back to its pre-release level.Zara Nokes, global market analyst at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said the higher-than-expected headline inflation rate, combined with strong wage growth figures announced on Tuesday, would cause "quite the headache" for the BoE."With the hike in employer taxes and the minimum wage increase still coming down the tracks, it is hard to see how inflation dynamics will improve meaningfully in the near term," Nokes said.investing.com

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